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The Milton Measure

Will Sarah Palin be Able to Take the 2012 Elections?

by on Friday, June 10th, 2011

During the 2008 presidential campaign, first-term Alaska Governor Sarah Palin gained political stardom and notoriety after John McCain chose her as his running mate.

In November, after McCain lost the presidential election, an active “Draft Palin” movement emerged. Ever since the egression of the movement, the American people, especially the American media, have asked: Can Sarah Palin win the 2012 GOP Nomination?

It is now 2011 and with the 2012 presidential election on the horizon Sarah Palin has already expressed some interest in running for the presidency of the United States.

On February 6th 2010, Fox News asked Palin if she would be running in next year’s presidential elections and she replied, “I would be willing to if I believe that it is right for the country.” She then sparked even more rumors on her candidacy by responding to a similar question, stating, “It’s time that a woman is president of the United States of America.”

The odds of Palin declaring her candidacy are very likely, but the more important question is whether or not Ms. Palin stands any real chance of winning the GOP nomination. The short answer: no.

Republican candidate from the previous presidential race: Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor, will compete with the former Alaskan Governor for the nomination. In the 2008 elections, Romney lost the GOP nomination to Senator John McCain in 2008.

In a poll last month, Palin had the second highest unfavorable ratings in comparison with other condidates tested. Another poll found that 62% of Americans said they would definitely not vote for Palin. If Palin hopes to even be considered a serious candidate she will have to find a way around these dismal statistics.

On the other hand, top Republican strategists are worried that, because of her ability to woo the public, Palin may end up winning the Republican nomination, ultimately causing the GOP to lose the presidential election. There is some cause to be concerned, as Palin has attracted significant attention from the media and has made public appearances in many states.

The public, however, will not allow Sarah Palin to run this country. For her to even be considered a potential candidate for the presidency, there are many things that she will have to learn and change.

First of all, Sarah Palin needs to become more knowledgeable about policies. Two and a half years have passed since the last presidential election allowing Palin ample time educate herself about America’s political system, yet she has failed to do so.

While she is a smart woman and served very well as Alaska’s governor, she is unprepared to assume the rule of the United States President due to her lack of knowledge about world history and foreign relations.

Palin will have to spend time studying the political leaders of every foreign country before she gains legitimacy. Palin will also have to learn how to represent our country without embarrassing herself.

Some may recall her interview with CBS’s Katie Couric where she stumbled through many of her answers. Steve Schmidt, McCain’s senior campaign strategist and advisor, later reflected on the interview, calling it the “the most consequential interview from a negative perspective that a candidate for national office has gone through.”

I predict Sarah Palin will not win the GOP nomination, let alone the presidential election. She has made too many public gaffes that have ruined her image and legitimacy as a potential world leader. She lacks the basic knowledge that a president needs to interact with foreign countries and deal with global issues.

The best move for Sarah Palin would be to save herself from the guaranteed loss to Obama during the 2012 election and try again in 2016. Maybe in 5 years she will have improved her reputation and will be a more qualified candidate for the presidency of the United States of America. Only time will tell whether Palin can keep her high position in the nation’s spotlight 2016.

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Posted by on Jun 10 2011. Filed under More Opinion, Opinion. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry

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